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Actual Cost
Total amount spent to date
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Analogous estimating
- Relies on historical information to predict the cost of the current project.
- AKA top-down estimating
- least accurate method
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Bottom-up Estimating
- Accounts for each component of the WBS to create a sum for the project.
- Most time consuming and most reliable
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Budget estimate
- Broad, early estimate
- Range can be from -10 to +25%
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Contingency reserve
- Allowance for cost overruns
- Used at PM's discretion and with management approval to counteract cost overruns
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Cost aggregation
- Costs are parallel to WBS work packages
- Each work package cost is aggregated to a corresponding control account
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Cost baseline
time-lapse exposure of when project monies are to be spent in relation to cumulative values of the work completed
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Cost budgeting
Cost aggregation achieved by assigning specific dollar amounts to each activity or work package
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Cost change control system
Examines any changes associated with scope changes, cost of materials, cost of other resources, and associated impact on project cost
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Cost management plan
Dictates how cost variances will be managed
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Cost of poor quality
- Money spent to recover from not adhering to expected quality level.
- May include rework, defect repair, medical, loss of sales, loss of customers, etc.
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Cost of quality
- Money spent to attain the expected level of quality within a project
- Includes training, testing, safety, etc.
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Cost Performance index
- Measures the project based on its financial performance
- CPI = EV/AC
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Cost Variance
- Difference of teh earned value and the cumulative actual project costs.
- CV = EV - AC
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Definitive estimate
- Used late in the planning process
- One of the most accurate methods
- bottom-up estimate
- Range of variance is -5 to +10 percent
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Direct costs
- Attributed directly to project work
- cannot be shared among projects
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Earned value
Physical work completed to date and the authorized budget for that work
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Estimate at completion (EAC)
Forecasting formulas predict teh likely completed costs of the project based on current scenarios
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Estimate to complete (ETC)
- formula that predicts how much funding the project will require to be completed
- There are 3 variations based on conditions the project may be experiencing
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Fixed costs
- Costs that remain constant through the life of the project
- ex: cost of a piece of rented equipment, a consultant, etc.
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Funding limit reconciliation
an organization's approach to managing cash flow against project delieverables based on a schedule, milestone accomplishment, or data constraints
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Indirect costs
- Costs that are representative of more than one project
- ex: utilities, facilities, software licenses, etc.
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Known unknown
- Event that will likely happen, but the timing and degree are unknown
- These events are usually risk related
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Learning curve
Assumes cost per unit decreases the more units workers complete because workers learn as they complete required work
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Oligopoly
Market is so tight that the actions of one vendor affect actions of all others
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Opportunity cost
Total cost of an opportunity that is refused to realize an opposing opportunity
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Parametric estimating
- Uses a parametric model to extrapolate project costs
- ex: cost per hour or unit
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Planned value
- Work scheduled and the budget authorized to complete that work.
- Reflects where the project should be at this point in time.
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Project variance
- Final variance, discovered only at the project's completion
- BAC-AC
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Regression analysis
- Statistical approach to predicting what future values may be, based on historical values
- Creates quantitative predictions based on variables within one value to predict variables in another
- Relies solely on pure math to reveal relationships between variables and predict future values
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Reserve analysis
- Cost reserves are for unknown unknowns in a project
- Part of the project budget but not the project baseline
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Rough order of magnitude
- rough estimate used during the initiating processes and in top-down estimates
- range can be from -25% to +75%
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Schedule performance index
- Measures the project based on its schedule performance
- SPI = EV/PV
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Schedule variance
- the difference between earned value and planned value
- SV = EV - PV
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Single source
Many vendors can provide an item, but you prefer to work with just one
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Sole source
- Only one vendor can provide something
- ex: specific consultant, specialized service, unique material
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sunk costs
Monies that have already been invested in a project
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To-complete performance index
- formula to forecast the likelihood of a project to achieve its goals based on what's happening in the project right now
- Using original budget: TCPI = (BAC-EV) / (BAC - AC)
- Using new estimate: TCPI = (BAC-EV) / (EAC - AC)
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variable costs
costs that change based on the conditions applied in the project (number of participants, etc)
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Variance
difference between what was expected and what was experienced
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Variance at completion
- forecasting formula that predicts how much of a variance the project will likely have based on current conditions within the project
- VAC = BAC - EAC
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